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Sports·UFC

Tuco Tokkos – Ivan Erslan

Polymarket
Tuco Tokkos
Tuco Tokkos
Unanimous Decision
Ivan Erslan
Ivan Erslan
$497.50K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$491K Vol.

Totals

$3.2K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$1.2K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$524 Vol.

Tokkos to win by KO/TKO?

$1.2K Vol.

Erslan to win by KO/TKO?

$388 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$73 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tuco Tokkos defeats Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ivan Erslan defeats Tuco Tokkos at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Tuco Tokkos enters this light heavyweight prelim bout with fresh momentum after securing his first UFC victory via second-round submission over Junior Tafa last July, improving his octagon record to 1-2. The English grappler brings a 11-5 mark and expanded striking skills to counter Ivan Erslan, who remains winless at 0-3 in the UFC following decision losses to Ion Cutelaba and Navajo Stirling plus a first-round rear-naked choke defeat to Jimmy Crute. Erslan’s 14-6 career ledger features heavy knockout power and early finishes, yet his recent form raises adaptation questions against Tokkos’ ground game and reach edge. Both fighters need the win to stabilize their positions heading into the May 16 UFC Apex card, where situational factors like home-octagon comfort and weight-class experience shape trader consensus around the competitive matchup.

This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$497,503
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Erslan vs. Tokkos” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Ivan Erslan and the Tuco Tokkos, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Erslan is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Tokkos at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Erslan vs. Tokkos” market has generated $497.5K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Erslan vs. Tokkos,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows IVA6 at 100¢ and TUC1 at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Erslan vs. Tokkos” show Ivan Erslan at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Tuco Tokkos at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Erslan vs. Tokkos” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Tuco Tokkos – Ivan Erslan

Polymarket
Tuco Tokkos
Tuco Tokkos
Unanimous Decision
Ivan Erslan
Ivan Erslan
$497.50K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$491K Vol.

Totals

$3.2K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$1.2K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$524 Vol.

Tokkos to win by KO/TKO?

$1.2K Vol.

Erslan to win by KO/TKO?

$388 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$73 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tuco Tokkos defeats Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ivan Erslan defeats Tuco Tokkos at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Tuco Tokkos enters this light heavyweight prelim bout with fresh momentum after securing his first UFC victory via second-round submission over Junior Tafa last July, improving his octagon record to 1-2. The English grappler brings a 11-5 mark and expanded striking skills to counter Ivan Erslan, who remains winless at 0-3 in the UFC following decision losses to Ion Cutelaba and Navajo Stirling plus a first-round rear-naked choke defeat to Jimmy Crute. Erslan’s 14-6 career ledger features heavy knockout power and early finishes, yet his recent form raises adaptation questions against Tokkos’ ground game and reach edge. Both fighters need the win to stabilize their positions heading into the May 16 UFC Apex card, where situational factors like home-octagon comfort and weight-class experience shape trader consensus around the competitive matchup.

This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$497,503
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Erslan vs. Tokkos” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Ivan Erslan and the Tuco Tokkos, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Erslan is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Tokkos at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Erslan vs. Tokkos” market has generated $497.5K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Erslan vs. Tokkos,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows IVA6 at 100¢ and TUC1 at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Erslan vs. Tokkos” show Ivan Erslan at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Tuco Tokkos at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Erslan vs. Tokkos” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.