The four Americas representatives—100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports—enter VALORANT Champions 2026 in separate groups of a double-elimination group stage, producing near-even implied probabilities for which roster exits first. Each squad qualified through strong VCT Americas Stage 2 results and faces high-caliber international opposition in best-of-three openers and potential deciders beginning September 24. Recent form, map pools, and adaptation to patch 13.05 create comparable upside and downside for all four, with no single team holding a decisive structural edge in schedule or bracket position. Trader consensus therefore remains tightly bunched as the opening matches approach.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100 Thieves 50%
LOUD 50%
G2 Esports 50%
NRG 48%
NEW
NEW
Nov 17, 2026
100 Thieves
50%
LOUD
50%
G2 Esports
50%
NRG
48%
100 Thieves 50%
LOUD 50%
G2 Esports 50%
NRG 48%
NEW
NEW
Nov 17, 2026
100 Thieves
$0 Vol.
50%
LOUD
$0 Vol.
50%
G2 Esports
$0 Vol.
50%
NRG
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to which Americas team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.The four Americas representatives—100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports—enter VALORANT Champions 2026 in separate groups of a double-elimination group stage, producing near-even implied probabilities for which roster exits first. Each squad qualified through strong VCT Americas Stage 2 results and faces high-caliber international opposition in best-of-three openers and potential deciders beginning September 24. Recent form, map pools, and adaptation to patch 13.05 create comparable upside and downside for all four, with no single team holding a decisive structural edge in schedule or bracket position. Trader consensus therefore remains tightly bunched as the opening matches approach.
This market will resolve according to which Americas team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://valorantesports.comResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to which Americas team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.The four Americas representatives—100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports—enter VALORANT Champions 2026 in separate groups of a double-elimination group stage, producing near-even implied probabilities for which roster exits first. Each squad qualified through strong VCT Americas Stage 2 results and faces high-caliber international opposition in best-of-three openers and potential deciders beginning September 24. Recent form, map pools, and adaptation to patch 13.05 create comparable upside and downside for all four, with no single team holding a decisive structural edge in schedule or bracket position. Trader consensus therefore remains tightly bunched as the opening matches approach.
This market will resolve according to which Americas team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://valorantesports.comResolver
0x69c47de9d...The four Americas representatives—100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports—enter VALORANT Champions 2026 in separate groups of a double-elimination group stage, producing near-even implied probabilities for which roster exits first. Each squad qualified through strong VCT Americas Stage 2 results and faces high-caliber international opposition in best-of-three openers and potential deciders beginning September 24. Recent form, map pools, and adaptation to patch 13.05 create comparable upside and downside for all four, with no single team holding a decisive structural edge in schedule or bracket position. Trader consensus therefore remains tightly bunched as the opening matches approach.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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