The closely bunched implied probabilities around 49-50% for Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, Team Vitality, and related outcomes reflect balanced group-stage matchups and comparable recent form across the four EMEA representatives. Each squad enters VALORANT Champions 2026 with strong domestic results—Karmine Corp claiming Stage 2, Liquid as runner-up—yet faces formidable international opponents in double-elimination groups featuring Pacific and Chinese sides. Head-to-head trends from qualifiers show tight series, while limited prior Champions experience for most rosters adds uncertainty around map pool execution and mid-round adjustments. No single EMEA team holds a clear edge in schedule difficulty or momentum, sustaining trader consensus on an open race for the first regional elimination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKarmine Corp 49%
Team Liquid 49%
FUT Esports 49%
Team Vitality 49%
NEW
NEW
Nov 17, 2026
Karmine Corp
49%
Team Liquid
49%
FUT Esports
49%
Team Vitality
49%
Karmine Corp 49%
Team Liquid 49%
FUT Esports 49%
Team Vitality 49%
NEW
NEW
Nov 17, 2026
Karmine Corp
$0 Vol.
49%
Team Liquid
$0 Vol.
49%
FUT Esports
$0 Vol.
49%
Team Vitality
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to which EMEA team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities around 49-50% for Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, Team Vitality, and related outcomes reflect balanced group-stage matchups and comparable recent form across the four EMEA representatives. Each squad enters VALORANT Champions 2026 with strong domestic results—Karmine Corp claiming Stage 2, Liquid as runner-up—yet faces formidable international opponents in double-elimination groups featuring Pacific and Chinese sides. Head-to-head trends from qualifiers show tight series, while limited prior Champions experience for most rosters adds uncertainty around map pool execution and mid-round adjustments. No single EMEA team holds a clear edge in schedule difficulty or momentum, sustaining trader consensus on an open race for the first regional elimination.
This market will resolve according to which EMEA team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://valorantesports.comResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to which EMEA team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities around 49-50% for Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, Team Vitality, and related outcomes reflect balanced group-stage matchups and comparable recent form across the four EMEA representatives. Each squad enters VALORANT Champions 2026 with strong domestic results—Karmine Corp claiming Stage 2, Liquid as runner-up—yet faces formidable international opponents in double-elimination groups featuring Pacific and Chinese sides. Head-to-head trends from qualifiers show tight series, while limited prior Champions experience for most rosters adds uncertainty around map pool execution and mid-round adjustments. No single EMEA team holds a clear edge in schedule difficulty or momentum, sustaining trader consensus on an open race for the first regional elimination.
This market will resolve according to which EMEA team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China.
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://valorantesports.comResolver
0x69c47de9d...The closely bunched implied probabilities around 49-50% for Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, Team Vitality, and related outcomes reflect balanced group-stage matchups and comparable recent form across the four EMEA representatives. Each squad enters VALORANT Champions 2026 with strong domestic results—Karmine Corp claiming Stage 2, Liquid as runner-up—yet faces formidable international opponents in double-elimination groups featuring Pacific and Chinese sides. Head-to-head trends from qualifiers show tight series, while limited prior Champions experience for most rosters adds uncertainty around map pool execution and mid-round adjustments. No single EMEA team holds a clear edge in schedule difficulty or momentum, sustaining trader consensus on an open race for the first regional elimination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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