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icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

Leanne Raw 28%

Kevin Hyland 3.6%

Mary Duniam 3.6%

Chloe Foster 3.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Leanne Raw 28%

Kevin Hyland 3.6%

Mary Duniam 3.6%

Chloe Foster 3.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$2,013 Vol.

28%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$746 Vol.

3%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The retirement of incumbent Mayor Mary Duniam has created an open contest for the October 2026 Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election in Tasmania, with multiple sitting councillors including Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts, and Michael Johnstone declaring interest ahead of the September nomination window. This field of declared and potential candidates, combined with the absence of a dominant frontrunner or recent polling, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered among leading options. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over how the race will consolidate once nominations close on 21 September and formal campaigning begins, with separation likely to emerge from candidate endorsements, local issue focus, or turnout patterns in this compulsory voting local government election.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$2,639
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The retirement of incumbent Mayor Mary Duniam has created an open contest for the October 2026 Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election in Tasmania, with multiple sitting councillors including Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts, and Michael Johnstone declaring interest ahead of the September nomination window. This field of declared and potential candidates, combined with the absence of a dominant frontrunner or recent polling, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered among leading options. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over how the race will consolidate once nominations close on 21 September and formal campaigning begins, with separation likely to emerge from candidate endorsements, local issue focus, or turnout patterns in this compulsory voting local government election.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$2,639
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Leanne Raw" at 28%, followed by "Kevin Hyland" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is "Leanne Raw" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Hyland" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.