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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 35%

Movsar Evloev 33%

Jean Silva 22%

Lerone Murphy 21.4%

Polymarket

$11,849 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski 35%

Movsar Evloev 33%

Jean Silva 22%

Lerone Murphy 21.4%

Polymarket

$11,849 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski

$819 Vol.

32%

Movsar Evloev

$5,109 Vol.

43%

Jean Silva

$1,616 Vol.

22%

Lerone Murphy

$1,352 Vol.

21%

Steve Garcia

$438 Vol.

4%

Arnold Allen

$423 Vol.

1%

Aljamain Sterling

$343 Vol.

1%

Youssef Zalal

$428 Vol.

1%

Brian Ortega

$456 Vol.

1%

Diego Lopes

$487 Vol.

<1%

Yair Rodriguez

$378 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors undefeated contender Movsar Evloev at 48% implied probability to claim the UFC featherweight title by year's end, propelled by his majority decision victory over previously unbeaten Lerone Murphy in the March 21 UFC London main event—a bout marred by a point deduction but positioning Evloev as the top challenger after Dana White praised his title shot readiness. Reigning champion Alexander Volkanovski holds steady at 33.5% following his unanimous decision defense against Diego Lopes on January 31, with the Aussie urging a matchup against Evloev amid reports of UFC deliberations involving Jean Silva. Murphy retains 28.2% support despite the narrow loss, buoyed by his prior dominance, while Silva's 22% reflects momentum from his January knockout of Arnold Allen, highlighting the division's depth and stylistic clashes between wrestlers like Evloev and strikers like Volkanovski.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$11,849
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors undefeated contender Movsar Evloev at 48% implied probability to claim the UFC featherweight title by year's end, propelled by his majority decision victory over previously unbeaten Lerone Murphy in the March 21 UFC London main event—a bout marred by a point deduction but positioning Evloev as the top challenger after Dana White praised his title shot readiness. Reigning champion Alexander Volkanovski holds steady at 33.5% following his unanimous decision defense against Diego Lopes on January 31, with the Aussie urging a matchup against Evloev amid reports of UFC deliberations involving Jean Silva. Murphy retains 28.2% support despite the narrow loss, buoyed by his prior dominance, while Silva's 22% reflects momentum from his January knockout of Arnold Allen, highlighting the division's depth and stylistic clashes between wrestlers like Evloev and strikers like Volkanovski.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$11,849
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 43%, followed by "Alexander Volkanovski" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Movsar Evloev" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.