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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Market icon

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$64,760 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$64,760 Vol.

Polymarket

Charles Oliveira

$35 Vol.

48%

Max Holloway

$0 Vol.

48%

Belal Muhammad

$250 Vol.

47%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

47%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

46%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

46%

Aljamain Sterling

$52 Vol.

45%

Sergei Pavlovich

$29 Vol.

45%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

44%

Alexander Volkov

$252 Vol.

44%

Kamaru Usman

$6,299 Vol.

39%

Merab Dvalishvili

$809 Vol.

50%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,137 Vol.

17%

Magomed Ankalaev

$824 Vol.

22%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$805 Vol.

18%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$0 Vol.

11%

Sean O'Malley

$1,356 Vol.

22%

Diego Lopes

$4,886 Vol.

8%

Paddy Pimblett

$0 Vol.

6%

Manel Kape

$0 Vol.

15%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

3%

Jack Della Maddalena

$0 Vol.

2%

Alexandre Pantoja

$638 Vol.

44%

Ian Machado Garry

$203 Vol.

46%

Leon Edwards

$39,929 Vol.

30%

Sean Strickland

$1,321 Vol.

36%

Jiří Procházka

$3,461 Vol.

36%

Ciryl Gane

$1,472 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Ulberg captured the light heavyweight title with a first-round KO over Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11, marking the first new UFC champion of 2026 and highlighting upset potential in contender matchups. Khamzat Chimaev prepares to defend his middleweight crown against Sean Strickland at UFC 328 on May 9, while Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira looms as a potential heavyweight title fight. Joe Pyfer's shocking decision win over Israel Adesanya on March 28 elevates him as a middleweight contender, and Alexander Volkanovski's hinted retirement could fast-track featherweight hopefuls like the Movsar Evloev-Lerone Murphy winner. Rankings flux and upcoming main events will shape pathways for pound-for-pound risers through year's end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,760
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Ulberg captured the light heavyweight title with a first-round KO over Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11, marking the first new UFC champion of 2026 and highlighting upset potential in contender matchups. Khamzat Chimaev prepares to defend his middleweight crown against Sean Strickland at UFC 328 on May 9, while Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira looms as a potential heavyweight title fight. Joe Pyfer's shocking decision win over Israel Adesanya on March 28 elevates him as a middleweight contender, and Alexander Volkanovski's hinted retirement could fast-track featherweight hopefuls like the Movsar Evloev-Lerone Murphy winner. Rankings flux and upcoming main events will shape pathways for pound-for-pound risers through year's end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,760
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%, followed by "Charles Oliveira" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $64.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Oliveira" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.