The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, after easing on a stronger-than-expected August jobs report that lifted Treasury yields and the dollar. With U.S. markets closed for Labor Day on September 7, the week’s price action will hinge on Thursday’s PPI and ECB policy decision, followed by Friday’s CPI release—data that will refine market-implied odds for the September FOMC. Recent earnings resilience and AI-driven capex continue to support valuations near record highs around 7,800, though elevated yields and any hotter-than-anticipated inflation prints could pressure multiples in the near term. Traders are monitoring these releases for signals on the pace of monetary easing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $800
50%
↑ $795
50%
↑ $790
6%
↑ $785
14%
↑ $780
32%
↑ $775
63%
↑ $770
55%
↓ $765
56%
↓ $760
27%
↓ $755
11%
↓ $750
50%
↓ $745
50%
↓ $740
50%
↓ $735
39%
$132 Vol.
↑ $800
50%
↑ $795
50%
↑ $790
6%
↑ $785
14%
↑ $780
32%
↑ $775
63%
↑ $770
55%
↓ $765
56%
↓ $760
27%
↓ $755
11%
↓ $750
50%
↓ $745
50%
↓ $740
50%
↓ $735
39%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, after easing on a stronger-than-expected August jobs report that lifted Treasury yields and the dollar. With U.S. markets closed for Labor Day on September 7, the week’s price action will hinge on Thursday’s PPI and ECB policy decision, followed by Friday’s CPI release—data that will refine market-implied odds for the September FOMC. Recent earnings resilience and AI-driven capex continue to support valuations near record highs around 7,800, though elevated yields and any hotter-than-anticipated inflation prints could pressure multiples in the near term. Traders are monitoring these releases for signals on the pace of monetary easing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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