The Amapá Senate race for first place remains tightly contested as multiple candidates, including incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), compete alongside challengers such as Acácio Favacho (MDB), Rayssa Furlan, Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and Capi (PSB). Recent candidate announcements in early August have expanded the field to nine contenders, while July polls showed Rayssa Furlan leading but with significant undecided and rejection shares that have kept implied probabilities clustered. This fragmentation, combined with the state's two-seat system and ongoing campaign formalizations, sustains balanced trader positioning across leading names. Key upcoming developments include further polling releases, party alliances, and official registration deadlines that could consolidate support or highlight frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCapi 47%
Helio Silva 47%
Professeur Uzian Pinto 44%
Lucas Barreto 44%

Capi
47%

Helio Silva
47%

Professeur Uzian Pinto
44%

Lucas Barreto
44%

Acácio Favacho
43%

Randolfe
43%

Juíza Jô
42%

Rayssa Furlan
42%

Alliny Serrão
41%
Capi 47%
Helio Silva 47%
Professeur Uzian Pinto 44%
Lucas Barreto 44%

Capi
47%

Helio Silva
47%

Professeur Uzian Pinto
44%

Lucas Barreto
44%

Acácio Favacho
43%

Randolfe
43%

Juíza Jô
42%

Rayssa Furlan
42%

Alliny Serrão
41%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá Senate race for first place remains tightly contested as multiple candidates, including incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), compete alongside challengers such as Acácio Favacho (MDB), Rayssa Furlan, Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and Capi (PSB). Recent candidate announcements in early August have expanded the field to nine contenders, while July polls showed Rayssa Furlan leading but with significant undecided and rejection shares that have kept implied probabilities clustered. This fragmentation, combined with the state's two-seat system and ongoing campaign formalizations, sustains balanced trader positioning across leading names. Key upcoming developments include further polling releases, party alliances, and official registration deadlines that could consolidate support or highlight frontrunners ahead of the October vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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