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icon for Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

icon for Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

$3,726 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$3,726 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for April 30

April 30

$178 Vol.

No

icon for May 15

May 15

$1,436 Vol.

No

icon for May 31

May 31

$2,112 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,726
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,726
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

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Questions fréquentes

« Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « April 30 » à 0%, suivi de « May 15 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 0¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 16, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...? » est « April 30 » à seulement 0%, avec « May 15 » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.