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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava

Matúš Vallo 82%

Jozef Ráž 11%

Martin Winkler 6%

Zuzana Šubová 3.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Matúš Vallo 82%

Jozef Ráž 11%

Martin Winkler 6%

Zuzana Šubová 3.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Matúš Vallo

Matúš Vallo

$469 Vol.

82%

icon for Jozef Ráž

Jozef Ráž

$120 Vol.

11%

icon for Martin Winkler

Martin Winkler

$81 Vol.

6%

icon for Zuzana Šubová

Zuzana Šubová

$156 Vol.

3%

icon for Dana Čahojová

Dana Čahojová

$115 Vol.

3%

icon for Miroslav Heredoš

Miroslav Heredoš

$269 Vol.

2%

icon for Ľubomír Geci

Ľubomír Geci

$172 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo holds an 81% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Bratislava mayoral race due to his position as two-term incumbent backed by a four-party coalition of Team Bratislava, Progressive Slovakia, SaS, and Democrats. Recent polls from June and July 2026 showed him with 37–42% first-choice support, well ahead of challengers. Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with reported Smer backing, sits at 10.5% amid national political framing by Prime Minister Fico. Martin Winkler follows at 6%, with Zuzana Šubová, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew), and other listed candidates at lower levels reflecting limited polling traction. Key factors include Vallo’s June 2026 program launch emphasizing housing construction, expanded public transport, and municipal policing, alongside the October 24 election timeline and Bratislava’s established preference patterns for the incumbent coalition. No major late shifts have altered the market consensus.

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$1,382
Date de fin
24 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo holds an 81% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Bratislava mayoral race due to his position as two-term incumbent backed by a four-party coalition of Team Bratislava, Progressive Slovakia, SaS, and Democrats. Recent polls from June and July 2026 showed him with 37–42% first-choice support, well ahead of challengers. Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with reported Smer backing, sits at 10.5% amid national political framing by Prime Minister Fico. Martin Winkler follows at 6%, with Zuzana Šubová, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew), and other listed candidates at lower levels reflecting limited polling traction. Key factors include Vallo’s June 2026 program launch emphasizing housing construction, expanded public transport, and municipal policing, alongside the October 24 election timeline and Bratislava’s established preference patterns for the incumbent coalition. No major late shifts have altered the market consensus.

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$1,382
Date de fin
24 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Connexes

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54%
Oui
icon for Juraj Droba va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la région de Bratislava en 2026 ?

Juraj Droba va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la région de Bratislava en 2026 ?

91%
Oui
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64%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Matúš Vallo » à 82%, suivi de « Jozef Ráž » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava » est « Matúš Vallo » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jozef Ráž » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Bratislava » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.