Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Donald Trump posting 80-99 times on Truth Social from March 13-20, 2026 (45.5% implied probability), followed by 100-119 (31.5%), reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 10-14 posts per day during active periods like campaigns and post-election phases. Recent tracking data from late 2024 shows weekly totals clustering in the 80-110 range, with daily spikes in mornings but rare sub-80 weeks absent legal constraints or platform issues. Lower bins like 40-59 (0.1%) see minimal support due to infrequent quiet spells, while 140+ outcomes remain tail risks tied to potential controversies. Absent scheduled events in early 2026, traders anchor on this baseline posting rhythm from primary platform analytics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour80-99 46%
100-119 32%
120-139 11%
60-79 6%
$26,876 Vol.
$26,876 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
6%
80-99
46%
100-119
32%
120-139
11%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200+
1%
80-99 46%
100-119 32%
120-139 11%
60-79 6%
$26,876 Vol.
$26,876 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
6%
80-99
46%
100-119
32%
120-139
11%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Donald Trump posting 80-99 times on Truth Social from March 13-20, 2026 (45.5% implied probability), followed by 100-119 (31.5%), reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 10-14 posts per day during active periods like campaigns and post-election phases. Recent tracking data from late 2024 shows weekly totals clustering in the 80-110 range, with daily spikes in mornings but rare sub-80 weeks absent legal constraints or platform issues. Lower bins like 40-59 (0.1%) see minimal support due to infrequent quiet spells, while 140+ outcomes remain tail risks tied to potential controversies. Absent scheduled events in early 2026, traders anchor on this baseline posting rhythm from primary platform analytics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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