US maximum pressure policies, including secondary sanctions on energy and financial sectors, an effective oil blockade via third-country tariffs, and the August 2026 extension of the embargo through September 2027, continue to constrain prospects for an official bilateral agreement on trade, sanctions relief, or the embargo. Cuba responded with sweeping domestic reforms passed in June 2026—easing private-sector rules, foreign investment, and land use—while engaging in limited April talks over property claims, prisoner releases, and connectivity. Those discussions have since stalled without meeting US conditions on political freedoms or compensation for expropriated assets. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, assigning low probabilities to a deal by year-end amid persistent demands and no scheduled breakthrough events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$434,056 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
December 31
21%
$434,056 Vol.
December 31
$22,183 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US maximum pressure policies, including secondary sanctions on energy and financial sectors, an effective oil blockade via third-country tariffs, and the August 2026 extension of the embargo through September 2027, continue to constrain prospects for an official bilateral agreement on trade, sanctions relief, or the embargo. Cuba responded with sweeping domestic reforms passed in June 2026—easing private-sector rules, foreign investment, and land use—while engaging in limited April talks over property claims, prisoner releases, and connectivity. Those discussions have since stalled without meeting US conditions on political freedoms or compensation for expropriated assets. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, assigning low probabilities to a deal by year-end amid persistent demands and no scheduled breakthrough events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volume
$434,056Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US maximum pressure policies, including secondary sanctions on energy and financial sectors, an effective oil blockade via third-country tariffs, and the August 2026 extension of the embargo through September 2027, continue to constrain prospects for an official bilateral agreement on trade, sanctions relief, or the embargo. Cuba responded with sweeping domestic reforms passed in June 2026—easing private-sector rules, foreign investment, and land use—while engaging in limited April talks over property claims, prisoner releases, and connectivity. Those discussions have since stalled without meeting US conditions on political freedoms or compensation for expropriated assets. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, assigning low probabilities to a deal by year-end amid persistent demands and no scheduled breakthrough events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$434,056Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...US maximum pressure policies, including secondary sanctions on energy and financial sectors, an effective oil blockade via third-country tariffs, and the August 2026 extension of the embargo through September 2027, continue to constrain prospects for an official bilateral agreement on trade, sanctions relief, or the embargo. Cuba responded with sweeping domestic reforms passed in June 2026—easing private-sector rules, foreign investment, and land use—while engaging in limited April talks over property claims, prisoner releases, and connectivity. Those discussions have since stalled without meeting US conditions on political freedoms or compensation for expropriated assets. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, assigning low probabilities to a deal by year-end amid persistent demands and no scheduled breakthrough events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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