Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$216,989 Vol.
$216,989 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
$216,989 Vol.
$216,989 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$216,989Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$216,989Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes