Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 2-4 at 39.5% implied probability, closely mirroring the recent resolution of 69 posts for March 30-April 1, with daily peaks of 38-39 on March 30-31 driven by viral commentary on election integrity, President Trump's executive order, Tesla Model 3 updates, and xAI/Grok advancements. The adjacent 40-64 range at 28.5% captures potential lulls like April 1's zero activity, possibly linked to logged flights including a New Delhi landing on March 31. Higher buckets trail due to absent blockbuster catalysts, though SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launches slated for April 2-6 could ignite a surge; markets reflect the unpredictable cadence of Musk's pop culture-dominating X presence, where real-money bets aggregate crowd wisdom on his engagement patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourElon Musk # tweets 2 avril - 4 avril 2026 ?
Elon Musk # tweets 2 avril - 4 avril 2026 ?
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
NOUVEAU
$115,578 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$115,578 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
Moins de 40
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
23%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
NOUVEAU
$115,578 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$115,578 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
Moins de 40
$12,331 Vol.
3%
40-64
$5,953 Vol.
29%
65-89
$6,762 Vol.
39%
90-114
$5,468 Vol.
23%
115-139
$9,140 Vol.
7%
140-164
$14,513 Vol.
1%
165-189
$12,473 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,047 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$18,532 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 2-4 at 39.5% implied probability, closely mirroring the recent resolution of 69 posts for March 30-April 1, with daily peaks of 38-39 on March 30-31 driven by viral commentary on election integrity, President Trump's executive order, Tesla Model 3 updates, and xAI/Grok advancements. The adjacent 40-64 range at 28.5% captures potential lulls like April 1's zero activity, possibly linked to logged flights including a New Delhi landing on March 31. Higher buckets trail due to absent blockbuster catalysts, though SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launches slated for April 2-6 could ignite a surge; markets reflect the unpredictable cadence of Musk's pop culture-dominating X presence, where real-money bets aggregate crowd wisdom on his engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$115,578Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 2-4 at 39.5% implied probability, closely mirroring the recent resolution of 69 posts for March 30-April 1, with daily peaks of 38-39 on March 30-31 driven by viral commentary on election integrity, President Trump's executive order, Tesla Model 3 updates, and xAI/Grok advancements. The adjacent 40-64 range at 28.5% captures potential lulls like April 1's zero activity, possibly linked to logged flights including a New Delhi landing on March 31. Higher buckets trail due to absent blockbuster catalysts, though SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launches slated for April 2-6 could ignite a surge; markets reflect the unpredictable cadence of Musk's pop culture-dominating X presence, where real-money bets aggregate crowd wisdom on his engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$115,578Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 2-4 at 39.5% implied probability, closely mirroring the recent resolution of 69 posts for March 30-April 1, with daily peaks of 38-39 on March 30-31 driven by viral commentary on election integrity, President Trump's executive order, Tesla Model 3 updates, and xAI/Grok advancements. The adjacent 40-64 range at 28.5% captures potential lulls like April 1's zero activity, possibly linked to logged flights including a New Delhi landing on March 31. Higher buckets trail due to absent blockbuster catalysts, though SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launches slated for April 2-6 could ignite a surge; markets reflect the unpredictable cadence of Musk's pop culture-dominating X presence, where real-money bets aggregate crowd wisdom on his engagement patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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