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Politique·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ?

Market icon
Politique·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ?

mars 31

avr. 3

avr. 7

avr. 10

mars 31

avr. 3

avr. 7

avr. 10

5-9 49%

<5 30%

10-14 30%

15-19 27%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

5-9 49%

<5 30%

10-14 30%

15-19 27%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<5

$0 Vol.

30%

5-9

$2 Vol.

33%

10-14

$0 Vol.

30%

15-19

$0 Vol.

27%

20-24

$0 Vol.

15%

25-29

$0 Vol.

15%

30-34

$0 Vol.

13%

35-39

$31 Vol.

7%

40 à 44

$31 Vol.

7%

45-49

$31 Vol.

7%

50-54

$31 Vol.

7%

55-59

$31 Vol.

7%

60+

$31 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) reflects low posting volume following reports of his assassination in late February 2026 and bio update honoring him as the "martyred Leader," with only three archival reposts in late March (March 26-28). Succession by Mojtaba Khamenei, amid unconfirmed reports of his injury or incapacitation, has sustained sparse activity, averaging under 10 posts weekly in recent periods per prior Polymarket resolutions. This keeps probabilities tightly clustered at 30-33% for <5, 5-9, and 10-14 posts April 3-10, as no major diplomatic escalations, resistance front updates, or official announcements have prompted an uptick. Geopolitical tensions or new leadership statements could boost volume and shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$186
Date de fin
10 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) reflects low posting volume following reports of his assassination in late February 2026 and bio update honoring him as the "martyred Leader," with only three archival reposts in late March (March 26-28). Succession by Mojtaba Khamenei, amid unconfirmed reports of his injury or incapacitation, has sustained sparse activity, averaging under 10 posts weekly in recent periods per prior Polymarket resolutions. This keeps probabilities tightly clustered at 30-33% for <5, 5-9, and 10-14 posts April 3-10, as no major diplomatic escalations, resistance front updates, or official announcements have prompted an uptick. Geopolitical tensions or new leadership statements could boost volume and shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$186
Date de fin
10 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 5-9 » à 33%, suivi de « <5 » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ? » est « 5-9 » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <5 » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts 3 avril - 10 avril 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.