This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing legal proceedings stemming from civil lawsuits tied to Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell remain the central driver behind any potential further document releases. Court-ordered unsealing of previously sealed materials has occurred in prior years through judicial review of evidence from defamation and related cases. Additional releases would hinge on new filings, appeals, congressional subpoenas, or executive branch actions such as DOJ reviews. No major verified developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the situation defined by standing judicial processes and periodic public calls for transparency on associated names and flight logs. Traders monitor court dockets and legislative calendars for catalysts that could trigger expanded disclosures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
Ongoing legal proceedings stemming from civil lawsuits tied to Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell remain the central driver behind any potential further document releases. Court-ordered unsealing of previously sealed materials has occurred in prior years through judicial review of evidence from defamation and related cases. Additional releases would hinge on new filings, appeals, congressional subpoenas, or executive branch actions such as DOJ reviews. No major verified developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the situation defined by standing judicial processes and periodic public calls for transparency on associated names and flight logs. Traders monitor court dockets and legislative calendars for catalysts that could trigger expanded disclosures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Jul 31 2026
No new Epstein client list released as market confidence collapses
By July 31, 2026, no previously unreleased files containing a definitive Epstein client list had been made public, leading to the market price for the July 31 resolution option falling to zero. Victims and advocates remain frustrated, but official releases and reporting confirm no such list has emerged.
Jul 30 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to turn over unredacted Epstein files for judicial review
The judicial order to review unredacted files underscored ongoing legal battles over transparency but no client list was disclosed, contributing to market stagnation.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein victims criticize acting AG Todd Blanche for dismissive meeting
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Jeffrey Epstein victims publicly criticized acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for dismissing their concerns during a private meeting, highlighting ongoing frustration over the absence of a definitive client list in the released files. This reinforced market doubts about the release of incriminating client information.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein survivors deliver files to lawmakers amid ongoing demand for client list
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Epstein survivors brought copies of files to Capitol Hill, pressing lawmakers for the release of the client list, but no new incriminating documents were made public, coinciding with the market price dropping to zero.
Jul 29 2026
Investigation reveals sexual misconduct reports linked to Epstein at Michigan arts school
July 31 dips to 0%1%
An investigation at a Michigan fine arts school uncovered reports of sexual misconduct by Jeffrey Epstein involving students, including unwanted touching and trips. This added to the ongoing revelations from the Epstein files and intensified public scrutiny of Epstein's activities and network.
Jul 26 2026
Bipartisan group in Congress pushes for more Epstein transparency amid ongoing investigations
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Congressional efforts to increase transparency and pressure the DOJ to release more files kept the issue in public focus but did not yield a client list, sustaining market uncertainty.
Jul 23 2026
Former Barclays CEO Jes Staley testifies before House panel on Epstein ties
Jes Staley, former Barclays CEO, testified before the House Oversight Committee regarding his ties to Jeffrey Epstein amid ongoing investigations. Documents revealed scrutiny of Staley's conduct and his relationship with Epstein, contributing to the broader fallout from the Epstein files.
Jul 21 2026
External review reveals Gates Foundation met with Epstein despite concerns
An external review disclosed that the Gates Foundation met with Epstein multiple times despite internal concerns, but no new client list was revealed, maintaining market skepticism about a forthcoming incriminating list release.
Jul 16 2026
Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche meets with Epstein victims amid file release controversy
Todd Blanche met with Epstein survivors who continue to demand the release of the so-called client list, highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction and doubt about the completeness of the released files, which pressured the market downward.
Jul 15 2026
Epstein Files Transparency Act II introduced to strengthen enforcement
Rep. Thomas Massie, with co-sponsors including Ro Khanna, introduced the Epstein Files Transparency Act II to empower state attorneys general, victims, and members of Congress to sue the DOJ for failing to comply with the original law and to limit DOJ's ability to withhold records.
Jul 15 2026
JD Vance admits communication errors over Epstein files release
JD Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration mishandled communications regarding the Epstein files, clarifying that while documents were released, no malicious intent to hide a client list existed. This admission contributed to market skepticism about the imminent release of a definitive client list.
Public admission of communication failures by the Trump administration regarding Epstein files contributed to declining market confidence in the release of a client list.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ deadline to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions
July 31 dips to 0%1%
The DOJ was ordered to comply by July 2 with the judge's demand to reduce redactions or justify them, but no definitive client list was released, contributing to market price collapse for July 31 outcome.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein records or justify redactions
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
The court order increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose additional files, raising hopes for a client list but no such list was confirmed, causing a sharp market drop.
Jul 2 2026
Deadline passes for DOJ to unredact Epstein files; no new client list released
July 31 drops to 1%10%
The Justice Department did not release a new unredacted client list explicitly linking individuals to Epstein's illegal activities by the July 2 deadline, leading to a collapse in market confidence that such files would be made public by the end of 2025.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders partial unredaction of Epstein files by July 2 deadline
July 31 dips to 0%1%
A federal judge gave Attorney General Todd Blanche a deadline to unredact certain emails and release additional documents with potential co-conspirator names unredacted, raising hopes for more transparency. However, no new client list was confirmed by the deadline, limiting market impact.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ defends withholding millions of Epstein documents amid court deadline
The DOJ filed court documents defending its limited release of Epstein files, citing victim privacy and internal deliberations as reasons for redactions and withholding. This came as the DOJ faced a July 2 deadline to comply with a judge's order to release more unredacted files.
Jun 26 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions by July 2
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan granted a preliminary injunction requiring the Justice Department to either release additional unredacted Jeffrey Epstein materials or explain why redactions should remain. This increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose more information related to Epstein's network.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before House Oversight Committee about Epstein ties
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black's testimony denying knowledge of Epstein's abuses maintained public scrutiny but did not produce a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before Congress about payments to Epstein amid scrutiny
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
Leon Black testified about $158 million paid to Epstein, claiming ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities. This testimony heightened public and congressional scrutiny but did not reveal a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies denying knowledge of Epstein's abuse amid document release delays
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black, a billionaire linked financially to Epstein, testified denying knowledge of Epstein's alleged abuse. This occurred despite delays in the full release of Epstein documents, contributing to ongoing uncertainty about the existence of a client list and affecting market confidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing legal proceedings stemming from civil lawsuits tied to Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell remain the central driver behind any potential further document releases. Court-ordered unsealing of previously sealed materials has occurred in prior years through judicial review of evidence from defamation and related cases. Additional releases would hinge on new filings, appeals, congressional subpoenas, or executive branch actions such as DOJ reviews. No major verified developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the situation defined by standing judicial processes and periodic public calls for transparency on associated names and flight logs. Traders monitor court dockets and legislative calendars for catalysts that could trigger expanded disclosures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
Ongoing legal proceedings stemming from civil lawsuits tied to Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell remain the central driver behind any potential further document releases. Court-ordered unsealing of previously sealed materials has occurred in prior years through judicial review of evidence from defamation and related cases. Additional releases would hinge on new filings, appeals, congressional subpoenas, or executive branch actions such as DOJ reviews. No major verified developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the situation defined by standing judicial processes and periodic public calls for transparency on associated names and flight logs. Traders monitor court dockets and legislative calendars for catalysts that could trigger expanded disclosures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Jul 31 2026
No new Epstein client list released as market confidence collapses
By July 31, 2026, no previously unreleased files containing a definitive Epstein client list had been made public, leading to the market price for the July 31 resolution option falling to zero. Victims and advocates remain frustrated, but official releases and reporting confirm no such list has emerged.
Jul 30 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to turn over unredacted Epstein files for judicial review
The judicial order to review unredacted files underscored ongoing legal battles over transparency but no client list was disclosed, contributing to market stagnation.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein victims criticize acting AG Todd Blanche for dismissive meeting
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Jeffrey Epstein victims publicly criticized acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for dismissing their concerns during a private meeting, highlighting ongoing frustration over the absence of a definitive client list in the released files. This reinforced market doubts about the release of incriminating client information.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein survivors deliver files to lawmakers amid ongoing demand for client list
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Epstein survivors brought copies of files to Capitol Hill, pressing lawmakers for the release of the client list, but no new incriminating documents were made public, coinciding with the market price dropping to zero.
Jul 29 2026
Investigation reveals sexual misconduct reports linked to Epstein at Michigan arts school
July 31 dips to 0%1%
An investigation at a Michigan fine arts school uncovered reports of sexual misconduct by Jeffrey Epstein involving students, including unwanted touching and trips. This added to the ongoing revelations from the Epstein files and intensified public scrutiny of Epstein's activities and network.
Jul 26 2026
Bipartisan group in Congress pushes for more Epstein transparency amid ongoing investigations
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Congressional efforts to increase transparency and pressure the DOJ to release more files kept the issue in public focus but did not yield a client list, sustaining market uncertainty.
Jul 23 2026
Former Barclays CEO Jes Staley testifies before House panel on Epstein ties
Jes Staley, former Barclays CEO, testified before the House Oversight Committee regarding his ties to Jeffrey Epstein amid ongoing investigations. Documents revealed scrutiny of Staley's conduct and his relationship with Epstein, contributing to the broader fallout from the Epstein files.
Jul 21 2026
External review reveals Gates Foundation met with Epstein despite concerns
An external review disclosed that the Gates Foundation met with Epstein multiple times despite internal concerns, but no new client list was revealed, maintaining market skepticism about a forthcoming incriminating list release.
Jul 16 2026
Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche meets with Epstein victims amid file release controversy
Todd Blanche met with Epstein survivors who continue to demand the release of the so-called client list, highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction and doubt about the completeness of the released files, which pressured the market downward.
Jul 15 2026
Epstein Files Transparency Act II introduced to strengthen enforcement
Rep. Thomas Massie, with co-sponsors including Ro Khanna, introduced the Epstein Files Transparency Act II to empower state attorneys general, victims, and members of Congress to sue the DOJ for failing to comply with the original law and to limit DOJ's ability to withhold records.
Jul 15 2026
JD Vance admits communication errors over Epstein files release
JD Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration mishandled communications regarding the Epstein files, clarifying that while documents were released, no malicious intent to hide a client list existed. This admission contributed to market skepticism about the imminent release of a definitive client list.
Public admission of communication failures by the Trump administration regarding Epstein files contributed to declining market confidence in the release of a client list.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ deadline to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions
July 31 dips to 0%1%
The DOJ was ordered to comply by July 2 with the judge's demand to reduce redactions or justify them, but no definitive client list was released, contributing to market price collapse for July 31 outcome.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein records or justify redactions
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
The court order increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose additional files, raising hopes for a client list but no such list was confirmed, causing a sharp market drop.
Jul 2 2026
Deadline passes for DOJ to unredact Epstein files; no new client list released
July 31 drops to 1%10%
The Justice Department did not release a new unredacted client list explicitly linking individuals to Epstein's illegal activities by the July 2 deadline, leading to a collapse in market confidence that such files would be made public by the end of 2025.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders partial unredaction of Epstein files by July 2 deadline
July 31 dips to 0%1%
A federal judge gave Attorney General Todd Blanche a deadline to unredact certain emails and release additional documents with potential co-conspirator names unredacted, raising hopes for more transparency. However, no new client list was confirmed by the deadline, limiting market impact.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ defends withholding millions of Epstein documents amid court deadline
The DOJ filed court documents defending its limited release of Epstein files, citing victim privacy and internal deliberations as reasons for redactions and withholding. This came as the DOJ faced a July 2 deadline to comply with a judge's order to release more unredacted files.
Jun 26 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions by July 2
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan granted a preliminary injunction requiring the Justice Department to either release additional unredacted Jeffrey Epstein materials or explain why redactions should remain. This increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose more information related to Epstein's network.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before House Oversight Committee about Epstein ties
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black's testimony denying knowledge of Epstein's abuses maintained public scrutiny but did not produce a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before Congress about payments to Epstein amid scrutiny
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
Leon Black testified about $158 million paid to Epstein, claiming ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities. This testimony heightened public and congressional scrutiny but did not reveal a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies denying knowledge of Epstein's abuse amid document release delays
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black, a billionaire linked financially to Epstein, testified denying knowledge of Epstein's alleged abuse. This occurred despite delays in the full release of Epstein documents, contributing to ongoing uncertainty about the existence of a client list and affecting market confidence.
« Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 octobre » à 40%, suivi de « December 31 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » a généré $4.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » est « 31 octobre » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « December 31 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $4.4 million échangés sur « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 40¢ pour « 31 octobre » sur le marché « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 40% que « 31 octobre » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 40¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 60¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
La date de fin prévue du marché « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » est passée, mais le marché n'a pas encore été officiellement résolu. La date de fin indique quand l'événement sous-jacent est censé se produire ou devenir connaissable. Le marché reste ouvert au trading jusqu'à ce que le résultat soit formellement résolu. Consultez le statut de résolution et la section « Règles » sur cette page pour les mises à jour.
Le marché « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? » a une communauté active de 1,049 commentaires où les traders partagent leurs analyses, débattent des résultats et discutent des derniers développements. Faites défiler jusqu'à la section commentaires ci-dessous pour lire ce que pensent les autres participants. Vous pouvez également filtrer par « Principaux détenteurs » ou consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Liste des clients Epstein publiée par... ? ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
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