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icon for Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Finance·Entreprise

Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?

icon for Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Finance·Entreprise

Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?

janv. 1, 2027

janv. 1, 2027

Oui

3% chance
Polymarket

$237,633 Vol.

Oui

3% chance
Polymarket

$237,633 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, paired with updated projections holding the federal funds rate near 4.1% through 2027, underscores a resilient economy with 4.1% unemployment and core PCE inflation at 3.4%. This backdrop leaves little scope for an unscheduled emergency cut before year-end, as the FOMC has signaled a preference for data-dependent adjustments at regular meetings amid contained financial stresses and no acute recession signals. Historical precedent reinforces the 97.5% market-implied probability for "No," since emergency moves have occurred only during systemic shocks. Tail risks include a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, such as intensified Middle East conflict driving energy prices higher, or an abrupt financial market dislocation that could force a rapid policy reversal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$237,633
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, paired with updated projections holding the federal funds rate near 4.1% through 2027, underscores a resilient economy with 4.1% unemployment and core PCE inflation at 3.4%. This backdrop leaves little scope for an unscheduled emergency cut before year-end, as the FOMC has signaled a preference for data-dependent adjustments at regular meetings amid contained financial stresses and no acute recession signals. Historical precedent reinforces the 97.5% market-implied probability for "No," since emergency moves have occurred only during systemic shocks. Tail risks include a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, such as intensified Middle East conflict driving energy prices higher, or an abrupt financial market dislocation that could force a rapid policy reversal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070be91...

Connexes

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Questions fréquentes

« Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Baisse d'urgence du taux directeur de la Fed avant 2027 ? » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 3¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 3% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? » a généré $237.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? » est « Baisse d'urgence du taux directeur de la Fed avant 2027 ? » à seulement 3%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Baisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.