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Élections·Floride

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Élections·Floride

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Rudy Moise 38.5%

Elijah Manley 38%

Dale Holness 9.6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Rudy Moise 38.5%

Elijah Manley 38%

Dale Holness 9.6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$157 Vol.

55%

Rudy Moise

$855 Vol.

38%

Elijah Manley

$2,296 Vol.

37%

Dale Holness

$1,654 Vol.

10%

Maisha Williams

$308 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$273 Vol.

4%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Vol.

2%

Mark Douglas

$283 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads trader consensus in the FL-20 Democratic primary due to her recent announcement to run in the district after mid-decade redistricting shifted her prior seat, combined with her long congressional tenure, fundraising edge, and name recognition in a safe Democratic area. Several Black candidates, including Rudy Moise, Elijah Manley, Dale Holness, Maisha Williams, Luther Campbell, and former Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, are competing in a fragmented field, prompting recent closed-door discussions among four of them to consolidate support ahead of the August 18 primary and qualifying deadline. Cherfilus-McCormick’s ongoing legal issues from her prior resignation add uncertainty to her bid, while efforts by the Broward Black Democratic Caucus highlight institutional pushback over preserving the district’s historical representation patterns. These dynamics position Schultz as the frontrunner while leaving room for a unified challenger to narrow the gap before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,611
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads trader consensus in the FL-20 Democratic primary due to her recent announcement to run in the district after mid-decade redistricting shifted her prior seat, combined with her long congressional tenure, fundraising edge, and name recognition in a safe Democratic area. Several Black candidates, including Rudy Moise, Elijah Manley, Dale Holness, Maisha Williams, Luther Campbell, and former Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, are competing in a fragmented field, prompting recent closed-door discussions among four of them to consolidate support ahead of the August 18 primary and qualifying deadline. Cherfilus-McCormick’s ongoing legal issues from her prior resignation add uncertainty to her bid, while efforts by the Broward Black Democratic Caucus highlight institutional pushback over preserving the district’s historical representation patterns. These dynamics position Schultz as the frontrunner while leaving room for a unified challenger to narrow the gap before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,611
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Debbie Wasserman Schultz » à 55%, suivi de « Rudy Moise » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 55¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Debbie Wasserman Schultz » à 55%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Rudy Moise » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.