Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,393 Vol.
$98,393 Vol.
14 juin 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,393 Vol.
$98,393 Vol.
14 juin 2026
19°C or below
$15,005 Vol.
No
20°C
$12,437 Vol.
No
21°C
$22,268 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$19,785 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,865 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,176 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,538 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,516 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,773 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,073 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$957 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$98,393Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98,393Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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