Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Ankara's June 18 daily maximum near 28–29 °C under typical early-summer plateau conditions, with the 900 m elevation and continental regime limiting extremes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective showers can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the 28 °C and 29 °C contracts. Historical June averages of 26–28 °C and current model consensus spreads underscore the genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive while suppressing probabilities beyond 30 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on June 18?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$91,195 Vol.
$91,195 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
Non
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$91,195 Vol.
$91,195 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
Non
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Ankara's June 18 daily maximum near 28–29 °C under typical early-summer plateau conditions, with the 900 m elevation and continental regime limiting extremes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective showers can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the 28 °C and 29 °C contracts. Historical June averages of 26–28 °C and current model consensus spreads underscore the genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive while suppressing probabilities beyond 30 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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