Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 16 juillet ?
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,991 Vol.
$19,991 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,991 Vol.
$19,991 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
$452 Vol.
Non
22°C
$433 Vol.
Non
23°C
$791 Vol.
Non
24°C
$743 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,680 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,398 Vol.
Non
27°C
$6,134 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$4,376 Vol.
Non
29°C
$536 Vol.
Non
30°C
$462 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$986 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,991Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,991Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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