Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 16 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 16 avril ?
88-89 °F 100.0%
79°F ou moins <1%
80-81 °F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,768 Vol.
$60,768 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
79°F ou moins
Non
80-81 °F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88-89 °F
Oui
90-91°F
Non
92-93°F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98°F ou plus
Non
88-89 °F 100.0%
79°F ou moins <1%
80-81 °F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,768 Vol.
$60,768 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
79°F ou moins
$8,369 Vol.
Non
80-81 °F
$2,342 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$5,561 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$7,582 Vol.
Non
86-87 °F
$5,964 Vol.
Non
88-89 °F
$12,139 Vol.
Oui
90-91°F
$7,502 Vol.
Non
92-93°F
$3,346 Vol.
Non
94-95 °F
$2,146 Vol.
Non
96-97°F
$3,222 Vol.
Non
98°F ou plus
$2,597 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$60,768Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,768Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Verified observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—Polymarket's official resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached 88-89°F around mid-afternoon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome with substantial volume backing the positioning. Preceding NOAA and ECMWF model runs converged on upper-80s peaks under a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow, low humidity, and clear skies ahead of a weekend cold front, aligning with mid-April climatology where average highs hover near 80°F amid frequent warm anomalies. While robust across ASOS stations, rare challenges like post-audit data corrections for sensor issues could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents show such revisions under 1% likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes