National Weather Service guidance for Austin on April 16 shows highs climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure fueling warm, humid conditions following recent observed peaks of 88-90°F on April 13-14. This trader consensus—reflected in closely matched 50% implied probabilities across 79°F-or-below, 84-95°F bins, with 90-91°F prominent—stems from model agreement on above-normal temperatures (climatological mid-April average ~80°F) but divergence on peak intensity due to variable cloud cover, south-southeast winds 5-15 mph, and timing of an approaching weekend cold front. New GFS/ECMWF runs expected today could sharpen the outlook, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or insolation tip the balance between 84-89°F moderation and 92°F+ surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 16?
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
79°F or below
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
79°F or below
$113 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$98 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$46 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$18 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$55 Vol.
35%
90-91°F
$47 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$33 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$45 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$8 Vol.
3%
98°F or higher
$94 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Austin on April 16 shows highs climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure fueling warm, humid conditions following recent observed peaks of 88-90°F on April 13-14. This trader consensus—reflected in closely matched 50% implied probabilities across 79°F-or-below, 84-95°F bins, with 90-91°F prominent—stems from model agreement on above-normal temperatures (climatological mid-April average ~80°F) but divergence on peak intensity due to variable cloud cover, south-southeast winds 5-15 mph, and timing of an approaching weekend cold front. New GFS/ECMWF runs expected today could sharpen the outlook, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or insolation tip the balance between 84-89°F moderation and 92°F+ surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$528Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Austin on April 16 shows highs climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure fueling warm, humid conditions following recent observed peaks of 88-90°F on April 13-14. This trader consensus—reflected in closely matched 50% implied probabilities across 79°F-or-below, 84-95°F bins, with 90-91°F prominent—stems from model agreement on above-normal temperatures (climatological mid-April average ~80°F) but divergence on peak intensity due to variable cloud cover, south-southeast winds 5-15 mph, and timing of an approaching weekend cold front. New GFS/ECMWF runs expected today could sharpen the outlook, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or insolation tip the balance between 84-89°F moderation and 92°F+ surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$528Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Austin on April 16 shows highs climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure fueling warm, humid conditions following recent observed peaks of 88-90°F on April 13-14. This trader consensus—reflected in closely matched 50% implied probabilities across 79°F-or-below, 84-95°F bins, with 90-91°F prominent—stems from model agreement on above-normal temperatures (climatological mid-April average ~80°F) but divergence on peak intensity due to variable cloud cover, south-southeast winds 5-15 mph, and timing of an approaching weekend cold front. New GFS/ECMWF runs expected today could sharpen the outlook, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or insolation tip the balance between 84-89°F moderation and 92°F+ surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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