Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
72-73°F 38%
69°F or below 26%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
69°F or below
26%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
6%
72-73°F 38%
69°F or below 26%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
69°F or below
$10 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$3 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
11%
88°F or higher
$145 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$55Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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