National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 23?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 Vol.
$108,872 Vol.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 Vol.
$108,872 Vol.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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