Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 21 août ?
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 43%
106-107°F 6%
100-101°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
93°F ou moins
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99 °F
2%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
6%
108-109 °F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112°F ou plus
<1%
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 43%
106-107°F 6%
100-101°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
93°F ou moins
$55 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$178 Vol.
1%
98-99 °F
$49 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$5 Vol.
6%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
49%
104-105°F
$172 Vol.
43%
106-107°F
$5 Vol.
6%
108-109 °F
$103 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$101 Vol.
1%
112°F ou plus
$127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$888Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$888Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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