Latest forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and the World Meteorological Centre (Beijing) project a high of 20-21°C for April 16 in Beijing, with light rain showers, northerly winds at 11 km/h, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating amid a lingering cool pattern from recent rainy days (e.g., April 14 high of 21°C). Trader consensus favors 18°C or below at 56% implied probability, reflecting caution on model uncertainties—GFS and ECMWF ensembles often underpredict peaks under cloudy conditions—and historical April variability around a 20°C average, where cold air outbreaks occasionally cap highs below 19°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations through afternoon hours will clarify resolution near urban measurement sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
18°C or below 32%
19°C 19%
20°C 17%
21°C 14%
18°C or below
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
17%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 32%
19°C 19%
20°C 17%
21°C 14%
18°C or below
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
17%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and the World Meteorological Centre (Beijing) project a high of 20-21°C for April 16 in Beijing, with light rain showers, northerly winds at 11 km/h, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating amid a lingering cool pattern from recent rainy days (e.g., April 14 high of 21°C). Trader consensus favors 18°C or below at 56% implied probability, reflecting caution on model uncertainties—GFS and ECMWF ensembles often underpredict peaks under cloudy conditions—and historical April variability around a 20°C average, where cold air outbreaks occasionally cap highs below 19°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations through afternoon hours will clarify resolution near urban measurement sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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