Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show strong model consensus for hazy sunshine and moderate humidity across Beijing on June 17, supporting a daily maximum temperature of exactly 32°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the region, where daytime highs often reach the low 30s Celsius under stable high-pressure influence with limited cloud cover or precipitation. Trader sentiment reflects high confidence in these short-range predictions, as surface observations and ensemble models indicate minimal deviation risk. A sudden increase in cloudiness, localized showers, or a faster-moving frontal system could still lower the peak by 2–3°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$107,209 Vol.
$107,209 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$107,209 Vol.
$107,209 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show strong model consensus for hazy sunshine and moderate humidity across Beijing on June 17, supporting a daily maximum temperature of exactly 32°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the region, where daytime highs often reach the low 30s Celsius under stable high-pressure influence with limited cloud cover or precipitation. Trader sentiment reflects high confidence in these short-range predictions, as surface observations and ensemble models indicate minimal deviation risk. A sudden increase in cloudiness, localized showers, or a faster-moving frontal system could still lower the peak by 2–3°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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