Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Busan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$33,598 Vol.
$33,598 Vol.
2 mai 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$33,598 Vol.
$33,598 Vol.
2 mai 2026
17°C or below
$2,033 Vol.
No
18°C
$920 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,994 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,524 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,830 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,987 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,666 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,472 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,921 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,978 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$5,274 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$33,598Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,598Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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