Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 Vol.
$27,730 Vol.
20 mai 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 Vol.
$27,730 Vol.
20 mai 2026
25°C or below
$238 Vol.
No
26°C
$320 Vol.
No
27°C
$516 Vol.
No
28°C
$477 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,651 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,733 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,450 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,126 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,755 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,831 Vol.
Yes
35°C or higher
$4,633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$27,730Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,730Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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