Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 2 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 2 mai ?
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 Vol.
$64,044 Vol.
2 mai 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 Vol.
$64,044 Vol.
2 mai 2026
15°C ou moins
$1,037 Vol.
Non
16°C
$762 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,432 Vol.
Non
18°C
$6,328 Vol.
Non
19°C
$5,717 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,541 Vol.
Non
21°C
$5,238 Vol.
Non
22°C
$9,916 Vol.
Non
23°C
$10,759 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$10,360 Vol.
Non
25°C ou plus
$8,953 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$64,044Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,044Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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