Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs support the market's strong positioning on a 25°C daily maximum in Istanbul, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–26°C. Afternoon peaks have so far aligned closely with this threshold without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. A late-day shift in steering patterns or unexpected model bias could still allow a 26–27°C outcome if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, though current guidance shows low probability of exceeding the 25°C resolution threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 12 septembre ?
25°C 97%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$14,314 Vol.
$14,314 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 97%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$14,314 Vol.
$14,314 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$255 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,934 Vol.
97%
26°C
$5,197 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,261 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$813 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs support the market's strong positioning on a 25°C daily maximum in Istanbul, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–26°C. Afternoon peaks have so far aligned closely with this threshold without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. A late-day shift in steering patterns or unexpected model bias could still allow a 26–27°C outcome if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, though current guidance shows low probability of exceeding the 25°C resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,314Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs support the market's strong positioning on a 25°C daily maximum in Istanbul, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–26°C. Afternoon peaks have so far aligned closely with this threshold without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. A late-day shift in steering patterns or unexpected model bias could still allow a 26–27°C outcome if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, though current guidance shows low probability of exceeding the 25°C resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,314Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs support the market's strong positioning on a 25°C daily maximum in Istanbul, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, clear skies, and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–26°C. Afternoon peaks have so far aligned closely with this threshold without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. A late-day shift in steering patterns or unexpected model bias could still allow a 26–27°C outcome if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, though current guidance shows low probability of exceeding the 25°C resolution threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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