Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Chongqing on September 12 near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September transition conditions. Model consensus centers on 28–29°C as the most probable peak, with small spreads arising from differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and solar insolation. Recent observations on September 11 show persistent overcast and stable high pressure, limiting rapid warming or cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) because these align with ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the date, while lower odds for 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in the final model runs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 12 septembre ?
28°C 36%
29°C 27%
27°C 22%
26°C ou moins 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
10%
27°C
22%
28°C
36%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 27%
27°C 22%
26°C ou moins 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$556 Vol.
10%
27°C
$566 Vol.
22%
28°C
$1,139 Vol.
36%
29°C
$1,310 Vol.
27%
30°C
$412 Vol.
8%
31°C
$380 Vol.
2%
32°C
$279 Vol.
2%
33°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Chongqing on September 12 near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September transition conditions. Model consensus centers on 28–29°C as the most probable peak, with small spreads arising from differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and solar insolation. Recent observations on September 11 show persistent overcast and stable high pressure, limiting rapid warming or cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) because these align with ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the date, while lower odds for 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,209Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Chongqing on September 12 near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September transition conditions. Model consensus centers on 28–29°C as the most probable peak, with small spreads arising from differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and solar insolation. Recent observations on September 11 show persistent overcast and stable high pressure, limiting rapid warming or cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) because these align with ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the date, while lower odds for 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,209Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Chongqing on September 12 near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September transition conditions. Model consensus centers on 28–29°C as the most probable peak, with small spreads arising from differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and solar insolation. Recent observations on September 11 show persistent overcast and stable high pressure, limiting rapid warming or cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) because these align with ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the date, while lower odds for 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in the final model runs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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