Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 11 septembre ?
23°C 59%
22°C 33%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$18,406 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,406 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
33%
23°C
59%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 59%
22°C 33%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$18,406 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,406 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$110 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$918 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,264 Vol.
5%
22°C
$4,184 Vol.
33%
23°C
$4,711 Vol.
59%
24°C
$1,558 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,160 Vol.
2%
26°C ou plus
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$18,406Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,406Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 11, driven by light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and a stable pressure pattern that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This positions 23°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near that threshold. Minor model spread around coastal versus inland sites supports the secondary 22°C outcome, while probabilities for 24°C or higher remain low absent stronger insolation or southerly flow. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the latest Met Office briefing and historical September variability near 20–22°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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