**Persistent flash drought intensification across the central and southern United States, fueled by record or near-record heat and prolonged dryness through early September 2026, positions multiple states for D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of September 15.** Recent USDM updates show rapid degradation from Texas northeastward through the Mississippi Valley and into parts of the Midwest and Plains, with Arkansas already reporting isolated D4 areas (first in Benton County since 2012) amid extreme soil moisture deficits and streamflow declines. D4 classification reflects the 0–2nd percentile of historical dryness, signaling catastrophic agricultural and water supply impacts. Trader consensus for 10 or more states aligns with ongoing model trends of above-normal temperatures and limited precipitation relief, though scattered showers could limit further expansion in some regions before the next weekly assessment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien d'États seront en D4 (sécheresse exceptionnelle) — semaine du 15 septembre 2026 ?
Combien d'États seront en D4 (sécheresse exceptionnelle) — semaine du 15 septembre 2026 ?
10 États ou plus 80%
1 à 2 États 15%
3 à 4 États 15%
5 à 6 États 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
0 État
1%
1 à 2 États
15%
3 à 4 États
15%
5 à 6 États
15%
7 à 9 États
15%
10 États ou plus
80%
10 États ou plus 80%
1 à 2 États 15%
3 à 4 États 15%
5 à 6 États 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
0 État
$21 Vol.
1%
1 à 2 États
$0 Vol.
15%
3 à 4 États
$0 Vol.
15%
5 à 6 États
$0 Vol.
15%
7 à 9 États
$0 Vol.
15%
10 États ou plus
$0 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Persistent flash drought intensification across the central and southern United States, fueled by record or near-record heat and prolonged dryness through early September 2026, positions multiple states for D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of September 15.**
Recent USDM updates show rapid degradation from Texas northeastward through the Mississippi Valley and into parts of the Midwest and Plains, with Arkansas already reporting isolated D4 areas (first in Benton County since 2012) amid extreme soil moisture deficits and streamflow declines. D4 classification reflects the 0–2nd percentile of historical dryness, signaling catastrophic agricultural and water supply impacts. Trader consensus for 10 or more states aligns with ongoing model trends of above-normal temperatures and limited precipitation relief, though scattered showers could limit further expansion in some regions before the next weekly assessment.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$21Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Persistent flash drought intensification across the central and southern United States, fueled by record or near-record heat and prolonged dryness through early September 2026, positions multiple states for D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of September 15.**
Recent USDM updates show rapid degradation from Texas northeastward through the Mississippi Valley and into parts of the Midwest and Plains, with Arkansas already reporting isolated D4 areas (first in Benton County since 2012) amid extreme soil moisture deficits and streamflow declines. D4 classification reflects the 0–2nd percentile of historical dryness, signaling catastrophic agricultural and water supply impacts. Trader consensus for 10 or more states aligns with ongoing model trends of above-normal temperatures and limited precipitation relief, though scattered showers could limit further expansion in some regions before the next weekly assessment.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$21Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent flash drought intensification across the central and southern United States, fueled by record or near-record heat and prolonged dryness through early September 2026, positions multiple states for D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of September 15.** Recent USDM updates show rapid degradation from Texas northeastward through the Mississippi Valley and into parts of the Midwest and Plains, with Arkansas already reporting isolated D4 areas (first in Benton County since 2012) amid extreme soil moisture deficits and streamflow declines. D4 classification reflects the 0–2nd percentile of historical dryness, signaling catastrophic agricultural and water supply impacts. Trader consensus for 10 or more states aligns with ongoing model trends of above-normal temperatures and limited precipitation relief, though scattered showers could limit further expansion in some regions before the next weekly assessment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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