**Trader consensus has converged on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations recorded a maximum of exactly 12°C.** Cold southerly winds and persistent cloud cover kept daytime readings suppressed, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a peak near or below 12–14°C and actual measurements confirming the lower end of that range. This aligns with the seasonal transition into spring, where September averages hover around 14–17°C but polar air intrusions can produce sharp drops. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Buenos Aires weather station, and with the date now passed, no realistic scenario remains that would shift the outcome away from 12°C absent a major revision to verified data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 12 septembre ?
12°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$65,793 Vol.
$65,793 Vol.
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
12°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$65,793 Vol.
$65,793 Vol.
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus has converged on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations recorded a maximum of exactly 12°C.** Cold southerly winds and persistent cloud cover kept daytime readings suppressed, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a peak near or below 12–14°C and actual measurements confirming the lower end of that range. This aligns with the seasonal transition into spring, where September averages hover around 14–17°C but polar air intrusions can produce sharp drops. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Buenos Aires weather station, and with the date now passed, no realistic scenario remains that would shift the outcome away from 12°C absent a major revision to verified data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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