Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 12 point to mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5-10 mph, supporting a daytime high near 84°F and aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 51% implied probability. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability, with only modest warming potential from humid conditions or slight steering shifts that could push readings into the 86-87°F range (27%). This positioning reflects typical late-summer patterns before a cooler front arrives Sunday, though forecast uncertainty remains as new observational data or model updates could adjust the exact peak by a degree or two. Historical averages near 78°F underscore the above-normal warmth currently priced in by traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 12 septembre ?
84-85°F 56%
86-87 °F 30%
82-83 °F 11%
80-81°F 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83 °F
11%
84-85°F
56%
86-87 °F
30%
88-89 °F
3%
90-91 °F
1%
92°F ou plus
1%
84-85°F 56%
86-87 °F 30%
82-83 °F 11%
80-81°F 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
73°F ou moins
$467 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$175 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$187 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$112 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$553 Vol.
3%
82-83 °F
$878 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$1,010 Vol.
56%
86-87 °F
$1,000 Vol.
30%
88-89 °F
$125 Vol.
3%
90-91 °F
$120 Vol.
1%
92°F ou plus
$172 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 12 point to mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5-10 mph, supporting a daytime high near 84°F and aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 51% implied probability. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability, with only modest warming potential from humid conditions or slight steering shifts that could push readings into the 86-87°F range (27%). This positioning reflects typical late-summer patterns before a cooler front arrives Sunday, though forecast uncertainty remains as new observational data or model updates could adjust the exact peak by a degree or two. Historical averages near 78°F underscore the above-normal warmth currently priced in by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,800Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 12 point to mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5-10 mph, supporting a daytime high near 84°F and aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 51% implied probability. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability, with only modest warming potential from humid conditions or slight steering shifts that could push readings into the 86-87°F range (27%). This positioning reflects typical late-summer patterns before a cooler front arrives Sunday, though forecast uncertainty remains as new observational data or model updates could adjust the exact peak by a degree or two. Historical averages near 78°F underscore the above-normal warmth currently priced in by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,800Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 12 point to mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5-10 mph, supporting a daytime high near 84°F and aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 51% implied probability. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability, with only modest warming potential from humid conditions or slight steering shifts that could push readings into the 86-87°F range (27%). This positioning reflects typical late-summer patterns before a cooler front arrives Sunday, though forecast uncertainty remains as new observational data or model updates could adjust the exact peak by a degree or two. Historical averages near 78°F underscore the above-normal warmth currently priced in by traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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