Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 12 septembre ?
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 41%
92-93°F 9%
86-87°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F ou plus
<1%
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 41%
92-93°F 9%
86-87°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
79°F ou moins
$127 Vol.
<1%
80-81 °F
$189 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$493 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$395 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$423 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$1,314 Vol.
41%
90-91°F
$1,801 Vol.
46%
92-93°F
$596 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$642 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$111 Vol.
1%
98°F ou plus
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,347Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,347Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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