**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime high of exactly 30°C in Ankara on September 10, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds.** Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, with hourly readings approaching or reaching 29–30°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied 93% probability for 30°C as the peak, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical baselines indicate such highs are common but not guaranteed, with minor model spread around intensification or slight cooling from afternoon breezes. Resolution hinges on official station maxima; any unforecasted increase in cloud cover or stronger northerly flow could cap the high at 29°C, though data through midday supports the consensus outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 10 septembre ?
30°C 96%
31°C 4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$39,978 Vol.
$39,978 Vol.
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
96%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 96%
31°C 4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$39,978 Vol.
$39,978 Vol.
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
96%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime high of exactly 30°C in Ankara on September 10, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds.** Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, with hourly readings approaching or reaching 29–30°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied 93% probability for 30°C as the peak, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical baselines indicate such highs are common but not guaranteed, with minor model spread around intensification or slight cooling from afternoon breezes. Resolution hinges on official station maxima; any unforecasted increase in cloud cover or stronger northerly flow could cap the high at 29°C, though data through midday supports the consensus outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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