**Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to a daytime maximum between 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds.** These conditions limit daytime heating while drawing cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, keeping the high near or slightly below seasonal norms for early spring. Model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and wind strength, which accounts for the tight split between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes at roughly 40% each. No significant synoptic changes are expected overnight, so the final official reading will hinge on how much solar radiation penetrates the cloud deck during peak heating hours. Traders are weighting the two leading bins almost equally because small shifts in these variables can easily move the observed high by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 10 septembre ?
20°C 43%
19°C 40%
18°C 9%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
40%
20°C
43%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 43%
19°C 40%
18°C 9%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$185 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$166 Vol.
1%
16°C
$49 Vol.
1%
17°C
$124 Vol.
2%
18°C
$344 Vol.
9%
19°C
$1,587 Vol.
40%
20°C
$1,081 Vol.
43%
21°C
$2,287 Vol.
9%
22°C
$332 Vol.
3%
23°C
$40 Vol.
3%
24°C ou plus
$392 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to a daytime maximum between 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds.** These conditions limit daytime heating while drawing cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, keeping the high near or slightly below seasonal norms for early spring. Model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and wind strength, which accounts for the tight split between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes at roughly 40% each. No significant synoptic changes are expected overnight, so the final official reading will hinge on how much solar radiation penetrates the cloud deck during peak heating hours. Traders are weighting the two leading bins almost equally because small shifts in these variables can easily move the observed high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,586Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to a daytime maximum between 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds.** These conditions limit daytime heating while drawing cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, keeping the high near or slightly below seasonal norms for early spring. Model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and wind strength, which accounts for the tight split between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes at roughly 40% each. No significant synoptic changes are expected overnight, so the final official reading will hinge on how much solar radiation penetrates the cloud deck during peak heating hours. Traders are weighting the two leading bins almost equally because small shifts in these variables can easily move the observed high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,586Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to a daytime maximum between 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds.** These conditions limit daytime heating while drawing cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, keeping the high near or slightly below seasonal norms for early spring. Model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and wind strength, which accounts for the tight split between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes at roughly 40% each. No significant synoptic changes are expected overnight, so the final official reading will hinge on how much solar radiation penetrates the cloud deck during peak heating hours. Traders are weighting the two leading bins almost equally because small shifts in these variables can easily move the observed high by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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