Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 9 septembre ?
92-93°F 100.0%
77°F ou moins <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$85,772 Vol.
$85,772 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85 °F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91 °F
Non
92-93°F
Oui
94-95 °F
Non
96°F ou plus
Non
92-93°F 100.0%
77°F ou moins <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$85,772 Vol.
$85,772 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
$3,509 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$5,857 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$6,180 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$7,981 Vol.
Non
84-85 °F
$5,190 Vol.
Non
86-87 °F
$6,576 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$8,904 Vol.
Non
90-91 °F
$7,692 Vol.
Non
92-93°F
$10,223 Vol.
Oui
94-95 °F
$11,400 Vol.
Non
96°F ou plus
$12,261 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$85,772Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,772Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 86 et 87°F le 10 septembre ?
25%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 72 et 73°F le 11 septembre ?
37%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 12 septembre ?
20%
Oui
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