The overwhelming 100% market consensus on 32°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 9, confirmed through verified station data under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Real-time observations showed daytime peaks aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with regional steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling influences like stronger monsoon flows. Traders price in this outcome because prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of authoritative meteorological records, which carry low uncertainty once the observation period closes. Only an unusual post-processing revision to the daily maximum by the Observatory could realistically shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are infrequent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 9 septembre ?
32°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$166,791 Vol.
$166,791 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
32°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$166,791 Vol.
$166,791 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$21,405 Vol.
Non
26°C
$333 Vol.
Non
27°C
$401 Vol.
Non
28°C
$5,965 Vol.
Non
29°C
$29,744 Vol.
Non
30°C
$20,735 Vol.
Non
31°C
$20,691 Vol.
Non
32°C
$41,592 Vol.
Oui
33°C
$23,518 Vol.
Non
34°C
$2,185 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$223 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 100% market consensus on 32°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 9, confirmed through verified station data under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Real-time observations showed daytime peaks aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with regional steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling influences like stronger monsoon flows. Traders price in this outcome because prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of authoritative meteorological records, which carry low uncertainty once the observation period closes. Only an unusual post-processing revision to the daily maximum by the Observatory could realistically shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are infrequent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$166,791Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 100% market consensus on 32°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 9, confirmed through verified station data under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Real-time observations showed daytime peaks aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with regional steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling influences like stronger monsoon flows. Traders price in this outcome because prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of authoritative meteorological records, which carry low uncertainty once the observation period closes. Only an unusual post-processing revision to the daily maximum by the Observatory could realistically shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are infrequent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$166,791Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The overwhelming 100% market consensus on 32°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 9, confirmed through verified station data under typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Real-time observations showed daytime peaks aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with regional steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling influences like stronger monsoon flows. Traders price in this outcome because prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of authoritative meteorological records, which carry low uncertainty once the observation period closes. Only an unusual post-processing revision to the daily maximum by the Observatory could realistically shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are infrequent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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