**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's daily maximum on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 30°C (34.5%).** Official and model-derived forecasts show highs clustering near 30–31°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light northerly or variable winds, and low humidity (around 40–50%), which supports efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical September averages for Wuhan (typically 27–30°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic conditions—stable high pressure and minimal moisture—favor values slightly above the seasonal norm. Live observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 29–31°C, with model runs (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) showing limited spread and no major revisions expected before peak heating. Minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and microscale variations, keeping smaller probabilities on 32°C (8%) and lower outcomes, while extremes below 29°C or above 33°C carry negligible market-implied odds consistent with the absence of disruptive weather systems.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 12 septembre ?
31°C 52%
30°C 34%
32°C 9%
29°C 2%
$31,657 Vol.
$31,657 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
34%
31°C
52%
32°C
9%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 34%
32°C 9%
29°C 2%
$31,657 Vol.
$31,657 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$835 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,987 Vol.
2%
30°C
$7,667 Vol.
34%
31°C
$5,701 Vol.
52%
32°C
$3,834 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,979 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's daily maximum on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 30°C (34.5%).**
Official and model-derived forecasts show highs clustering near 30–31°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light northerly or variable winds, and low humidity (around 40–50%), which supports efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical September averages for Wuhan (typically 27–30°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic conditions—stable high pressure and minimal moisture—favor values slightly above the seasonal norm.
Live observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 29–31°C, with model runs (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) showing limited spread and no major revisions expected before peak heating. Minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and microscale variations, keeping smaller probabilities on 32°C (8%) and lower outcomes, while extremes below 29°C or above 33°C carry negligible market-implied odds consistent with the absence of disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,657Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's daily maximum on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 30°C (34.5%).**
Official and model-derived forecasts show highs clustering near 30–31°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light northerly or variable winds, and low humidity (around 40–50%), which supports efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical September averages for Wuhan (typically 27–30°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic conditions—stable high pressure and minimal moisture—favor values slightly above the seasonal norm.
Live observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 29–31°C, with model runs (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) showing limited spread and no major revisions expected before peak heating. Minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and microscale variations, keeping smaller probabilities on 32°C (8%) and lower outcomes, while extremes below 29°C or above 33°C carry negligible market-implied odds consistent with the absence of disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,657Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30–32°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's daily maximum on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (51.5%) and 30°C (34.5%).** Official and model-derived forecasts show highs clustering near 30–31°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light northerly or variable winds, and low humidity (around 40–50%), which supports efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical September averages for Wuhan (typically 27–30°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic conditions—stable high pressure and minimal moisture—favor values slightly above the seasonal norm. Live observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 29–31°C, with model runs (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) showing limited spread and no major revisions expected before peak heating. Minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and microscale variations, keeping smaller probabilities on 32°C (8%) and lower outcomes, while extremes below 29°C or above 33°C carry negligible market-implied odds consistent with the absence of disruptive weather systems.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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