**Clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity are enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan tonight, pushing the market-implied probability toward an 18°C low (55%) over cooler outcomes.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime highs near 30–31°C give way to rapid evening temperature drops under high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with dew points around 15–18°C limiting further decline. Model consensus from official sources points to a minimum near 20–21°C, yet urban heat island effects, exact wind patterns, and microscale variations create genuine uncertainty between 17–18°C and 14°C-or-below scenarios. The close odds reflect traders weighing these variables ahead of final overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 12 septembre ?
14°C ou moins 92%
17°C 90%
15°C 17%
16°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
92%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
14°C ou moins 92%
17°C 90%
15°C 17%
16°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
92%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$39 Vol.
90%
18°C
$6 Vol.
-
19°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,674 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity are enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan tonight, pushing the market-implied probability toward an 18°C low (55%) over cooler outcomes.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime highs near 30–31°C give way to rapid evening temperature drops under high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with dew points around 15–18°C limiting further decline. Model consensus from official sources points to a minimum near 20–21°C, yet urban heat island effects, exact wind patterns, and microscale variations create genuine uncertainty between 17–18°C and 14°C-or-below scenarios. The close odds reflect traders weighing these variables ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,521Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity are enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan tonight, pushing the market-implied probability toward an 18°C low (55%) over cooler outcomes.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime highs near 30–31°C give way to rapid evening temperature drops under high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with dew points around 15–18°C limiting further decline. Model consensus from official sources points to a minimum near 20–21°C, yet urban heat island effects, exact wind patterns, and microscale variations create genuine uncertainty between 17–18°C and 14°C-or-below scenarios. The close odds reflect traders weighing these variables ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,521Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity are enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan tonight, pushing the market-implied probability toward an 18°C low (55%) over cooler outcomes.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime highs near 30–31°C give way to rapid evening temperature drops under high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with dew points around 15–18°C limiting further decline. Model consensus from official sources points to a minimum near 20–21°C, yet urban heat island effects, exact wind patterns, and microscale variations create genuine uncertainty between 17–18°C and 14°C-or-below scenarios. The close odds reflect traders weighing these variables ahead of final overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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