The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver for Manila's September 11 maximum temperature, delivering frequent cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and suppressed daytime heating across Metro Manila and central Luzon. Official PAGASA guidance and short-range model consensus point to partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs likely peaking near 29–31 °C (roughly 84–88 °F), modestly below the long-term September average of 31 °C because persistent moisture and limited insolation reduce surface warming. Light southerly winds and high humidity further moderate extremes, while the absence of any nearby low-pressure system or tropical cyclone keeps steering patterns stable. Traders' tight clustering around 30 °C and 31 °C reflects this monsoon-driven ceiling, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at the PAGASA Science Garden station; updated forecasts through September 10 could shift odds if rainfall timing or cloud breaks change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 11 septembre ?
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
25%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C ou plus
9%
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
25%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C ou plus
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver for Manila's September 11 maximum temperature, delivering frequent cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and suppressed daytime heating across Metro Manila and central Luzon. Official PAGASA guidance and short-range model consensus point to partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs likely peaking near 29–31 °C (roughly 84–88 °F), modestly below the long-term September average of 31 °C because persistent moisture and limited insolation reduce surface warming. Light southerly winds and high humidity further moderate extremes, while the absence of any nearby low-pressure system or tropical cyclone keeps steering patterns stable. Traders' tight clustering around 30 °C and 31 °C reflects this monsoon-driven ceiling, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at the PAGASA Science Garden station; updated forecasts through September 10 could shift odds if rainfall timing or cloud breaks change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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