Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 11 project a high near 91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, supporting strong daytime heating over the High Plains. This places the 90-91°F bin as the clear market leader at 67% implied probability, consistent with model consensus showing temperatures 8–10°F above the 1991–2020 average high of 80.6°F. Recent September warmth, driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, has elevated surface temperatures, while the city's 5,280-foot elevation amplifies diurnal ranges and radiative heating. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against historical records near 97°F and the narrow spread of alternative bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Denver le 11 septembre ?
90-91°F 67%
88-89°F 18%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 3%
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85 °F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
67%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F ou plus
<1%
90-91°F 67%
88-89°F 18%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 3%
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85 °F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
67%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on September 11 project a high near 91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, supporting strong daytime heating over the High Plains. This places the 90-91°F bin as the clear market leader at 67% implied probability, consistent with model consensus showing temperatures 8–10°F above the 1991–2020 average high of 80.6°F. Recent September warmth, driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, has elevated surface temperatures, while the city's 5,280-foot elevation amplifies diurnal ranges and radiative heating. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against historical records near 97°F and the narrow spread of alternative bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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