Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from MetService and international agencies indicate Wellington's maximum temperature on September 9 will reach 14°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This aligns with spring climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C amid transitional atmospheric patterns. Real-time station reports and hourly trends show temperatures peaking near this threshold without exceeding it, reinforcing the market's near-certain outcome. Only a sharp, unanticipated warming from altered wind patterns or delayed frontal passage could realistically push readings higher, while cooler advection remains unlikely given current stability. Updated model runs later today will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 9 septembre ?
14°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$40,801 Vol.
$40,801 Vol.
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$40,801 Vol.
$40,801 Vol.
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from MetService and international agencies indicate Wellington's maximum temperature on September 9 will reach 14°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This aligns with spring climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C amid transitional atmospheric patterns. Real-time station reports and hourly trends show temperatures peaking near this threshold without exceeding it, reinforcing the market's near-certain outcome. Only a sharp, unanticipated warming from altered wind patterns or delayed frontal passage could realistically push readings higher, while cooler advection remains unlikely given current stability. Updated model runs later today will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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