Recent warm conditions in Guangzhou, with highs reaching 34–35°C on September 7–8 under mostly clear skies, have anchored trader expectations for September 9 near the upper end of seasonal norms. Official and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime maximum around 34°C, with mostly sunny morning conditions potentially allowing brief heating before any afternoon showers or increased cloud cover moderate temperatures. Historical September 9 averages near 32.5°C and a record of 35.8°C provide context, while model spreads introduce uncertainty around intensification or steering patterns that could push readings to 36°C or hold them at 34°C. Upcoming updated regional forecasts will likely refine these market-implied probabilities for the daily high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 9 septembre ?
35°C 48%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
27%
35°C
48%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$299 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$42 Vol.
2%
32°C
$261 Vol.
4%
33°C
$228 Vol.
4%
34°C
$136 Vol.
27%
35°C
$876 Vol.
48%
36°C
$851 Vol.
19%
37°C
$116 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$123 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warm conditions in Guangzhou, with highs reaching 34–35°C on September 7–8 under mostly clear skies, have anchored trader expectations for September 9 near the upper end of seasonal norms. Official and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime maximum around 34°C, with mostly sunny morning conditions potentially allowing brief heating before any afternoon showers or increased cloud cover moderate temperatures. Historical September 9 averages near 32.5°C and a record of 35.8°C provide context, while model spreads introduce uncertainty around intensification or steering patterns that could push readings to 36°C or hold them at 34°C. Upcoming updated regional forecasts will likely refine these market-implied probabilities for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,443Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warm conditions in Guangzhou, with highs reaching 34–35°C on September 7–8 under mostly clear skies, have anchored trader expectations for September 9 near the upper end of seasonal norms. Official and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime maximum around 34°C, with mostly sunny morning conditions potentially allowing brief heating before any afternoon showers or increased cloud cover moderate temperatures. Historical September 9 averages near 32.5°C and a record of 35.8°C provide context, while model spreads introduce uncertainty around intensification or steering patterns that could push readings to 36°C or hold them at 34°C. Upcoming updated regional forecasts will likely refine these market-implied probabilities for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,443Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent warm conditions in Guangzhou, with highs reaching 34–35°C on September 7–8 under mostly clear skies, have anchored trader expectations for September 9 near the upper end of seasonal norms. Official and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime maximum around 34°C, with mostly sunny morning conditions potentially allowing brief heating before any afternoon showers or increased cloud cover moderate temperatures. Historical September 9 averages near 32.5°C and a record of 35.8°C provide context, while model spreads introduce uncertainty around intensification or steering patterns that could push readings to 36°C or hold them at 34°C. Upcoming updated regional forecasts will likely refine these market-implied probabilities for the daily high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes