Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a high near 78–82°F in Chicago on September 9 amid mostly cloudy skies, morning showers, and a 60% chance of thunderstorms with west-southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit solar heating and cap the peak, consistent with the climatological average high of 78.6°F for the date. Model consensus favors modest daytime warming after overnight lows in the upper 60s, while lake-breeze influences near the shoreline may further suppress readings. With leading market bins clustered tightly around 78–81°F, traders are pricing in this narrow range driven by the balance between residual warmth from early-September heat and the cooling effects of the incoming disturbance. Updated forecast discussions and radar trends ahead of peak heating hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 9 septembre ?
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 16%
76-77 °F 12%
75°F ou moins
5%
76-77 °F
12%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 16%
76-77 °F 12%
75°F ou moins
5%
76-77 °F
12%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a high near 78–82°F in Chicago on September 9 amid mostly cloudy skies, morning showers, and a 60% chance of thunderstorms with west-southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit solar heating and cap the peak, consistent with the climatological average high of 78.6°F for the date. Model consensus favors modest daytime warming after overnight lows in the upper 60s, while lake-breeze influences near the shoreline may further suppress readings. With leading market bins clustered tightly around 78–81°F, traders are pricing in this narrow range driven by the balance between residual warmth from early-September heat and the cooling effects of the incoming disturbance. Updated forecast discussions and radar trends ahead of peak heating hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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