**Current forecast models and observational trends position 28°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 8, with 27–29°C capturing the bulk of market-implied probability.** Clear to mostly sunny skies under a stable high-pressure regime, light northwesterly to westerly winds, and low humidity are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures. Recent KMA and international guidance for the Seoul–Incheon area show highs of 28–29°C on adjacent days, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima commonly range 26–30°C. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread in guidance runs, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any residual moisture could nudge the peak by 1°C either side. The market’s concentration on these three bins reflects traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 8 septembre ?
28°C 45%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 5%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
22%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 5%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
22%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models and observational trends position 28°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 8, with 27–29°C capturing the bulk of market-implied probability.** Clear to mostly sunny skies under a stable high-pressure regime, light northwesterly to westerly winds, and low humidity are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures. Recent KMA and international guidance for the Seoul–Incheon area show highs of 28–29°C on adjacent days, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima commonly range 26–30°C. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread in guidance runs, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any residual moisture could nudge the peak by 1°C either side. The market’s concentration on these three bins reflects traders’ assessment of the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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