Recent official forecasts from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a cool spring day for Buenos Aires on September 6, with a southerly flow and high pressure favoring a daily maximum near 9–10 °C. This aligns with an El Niño-influenced pattern producing below-normal temperatures across the region during early spring 2026. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows in the mid-single digits, keeping the highest reading well below the long-term September average of roughly 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 11 °C, appears to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential brief warming if winds shift, while the combined weight on 9–10 °C outcomes captures the core forecast signal. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 6 septembre ?
11°C 54%
10°C 24%
12°C 12%
9°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
24%
11°C
54%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
11°C 54%
10°C 24%
12°C 12%
9°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$232 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$192 Vol.
1%
9°C
$344 Vol.
6%
10°C
$837 Vol.
24%
11°C
$503 Vol.
54%
12°C
$1,308 Vol.
12%
13°C
$303 Vol.
4%
14°C
$145 Vol.
2%
15°C
$180 Vol.
1%
16°C ou plus
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a cool spring day for Buenos Aires on September 6, with a southerly flow and high pressure favoring a daily maximum near 9–10 °C. This aligns with an El Niño-influenced pattern producing below-normal temperatures across the region during early spring 2026. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows in the mid-single digits, keeping the highest reading well below the long-term September average of roughly 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 11 °C, appears to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential brief warming if winds shift, while the combined weight on 9–10 °C outcomes captures the core forecast signal. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,350Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a cool spring day for Buenos Aires on September 6, with a southerly flow and high pressure favoring a daily maximum near 9–10 °C. This aligns with an El Niño-influenced pattern producing below-normal temperatures across the region during early spring 2026. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows in the mid-single digits, keeping the highest reading well below the long-term September average of roughly 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 11 °C, appears to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential brief warming if winds shift, while the combined weight on 9–10 °C outcomes captures the core forecast signal. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,350Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a cool spring day for Buenos Aires on September 6, with a southerly flow and high pressure favoring a daily maximum near 9–10 °C. This aligns with an El Niño-influenced pattern producing below-normal temperatures across the region during early spring 2026. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows in the mid-single digits, keeping the highest reading well below the long-term September average of roughly 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 11 °C, appears to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential brief warming if winds shift, while the combined weight on 9–10 °C outcomes captures the core forecast signal. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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